Friday, November 8, 2024

Post-Mortem

 

From what I've seen of the exit polls in terms of demographics, Trump's base experienced attrition, but that appears to have been compensated for by increased support among a variety of groups, including non-white college-educated voters (I confess I did not see that coming). 

Latino men moved 33 points towards Trump. 

Households earning less than $ 100K/yr. (Hillary Clinton's "deplorables"?) continued to shift in Trump's direction. 

Meanwhile, white women have remained among his most stalwart supporters (they know they can probably get an abortion if they need one). 

Given that Trump's share of the popular vote in 2024 was about the same as his share in 2020, and given that Harris's share under-performed Biden's, the defections from Trump's base did not benefit Harris--despite her attempts to woo them with the promise of appointing Republicans to her cabinet and campaigning with radioactive Liz Cheney. I'm guessing those voters sat this one out.

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